{"id":98058,"date":"2025-06-13T03:05:49","date_gmt":"2025-06-13T00:05:49","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/?p=98058"},"modified":"2025-06-13T03:05:50","modified_gmt":"2025-06-13T00:05:50","slug":"%d0%ba%d0%be%d0%bb%d0%b8-%d0%b7%d0%b0%d0%ba%d1%96%d0%bd%d1%87%d0%b8%d1%82%d1%8c%d1%81%d1%8f-%d0%b2%d1%96%d0%b9%d0%bd%d0%b0-%d0%b2-%d1%83%d0%ba%d1%80%d0%b0%d1%97%d0%bd%d1%96-%d0%b0%d0%bd%d0%b0%d0%bb","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/?p=98058","title":{"rendered":"\u041a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456: \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0437\u0434\u0438\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u043c"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<!-- Facebook Like Button Vivacity Infotech BEGIN -->\n<div class=\"fb-like\" data-href=\"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/?p=98058\" data-layout=\"standard\" data-action=\"like\" data-show-faces=\"true\" data-size=\"small\" data-width=\"450\" data-share=\"\" ><\/div>\n<!-- Facebook Like Button Vivacity Infotech END -->\n\n<p>\u0410\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043e\u043a\u0440\u0435\u0441\u043b\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0447\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0438 \u0431\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0456\u0457 \u0442\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u043b\u0438, \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/politeka.net\/crops\/9ecbb7\/360x0\/1\/0\/2024\/08\/03\/9yVTYkGxbmZBvZF314ZoseQU14dQ1AqyRYeITNQI.png\" alt=\"\u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430, \u0444\u0440\u043e\u043d\u0442\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u=https%3A%2F%2Fpoliteka.net%2Fuk%2Fsociety%2F453293-koli-zakinchitsya-viyna-v-ukrajini-analitiki-zdivuvali-prognozom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><a href=\"https:\/\/t.me\/share\/url?url=https%3A%2F%2Fpoliteka.net%2Fuk%2Fsociety%2F453293-koli-zakinchitsya-viyna-v-ukrajini-analitiki-zdivuvali-prognozom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><a href=\"\/\/forward?text=https%3A%2F%2Fpoliteka.net%2Fuk%2Fsociety%2F453293-koli-zakinchitsya-viyna-v-ukrajini-analitiki-zdivuvali-prognozom\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong><em><a href=\"https:\/\/politeka.net\/uk\/politics\/453149-pryamo-protilezhni-poziciji-u-storin-ne-vidno-zblizhennya-i-tochok-dotiku-ekspert-pro-peregovori\">\u041a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456<\/a>&nbsp;\u2014 \u0446\u0435 \u043f\u0438\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u044f\u043a\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0456\u0448\u0435 \u0437\u2019\u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0430\u0445, \u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0434\u043e\u043c\u043b\u044f\u0454 Politeka.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0415\u043a\u0441\u043f\u0435\u0440\u0442\u0438&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.jpmorganchase.com\/content\/dam\/jpmorganchase\/documents\/center-for-geopolitics\/jpmc-cfg-russia-ukraine.pdf\">JPMorganChase<\/a>&nbsp;\u0432\u0432\u0430\u0436\u0430\u044e\u0442\u044c, \u0449\u043e \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0456 \u0431\u043e\u0439\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0434\u0456\u0457 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0443\u0442\u044c \u043f\u0440\u0438\u043f\u0438\u043d\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0436\u0435 \u0446\u044c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043b\u0456\u0442\u0430, \u043c\u043e\u0436\u043b\u0438\u0432\u043e \u2014 \u0434\u043e \u043a\u0456\u043d\u0446\u044f \u0447\u0435\u0440\u0432\u043d\u044f. \u041f\u0440\u0438\u0447\u0438\u043d\u0430 \u2014 \u043d\u0430\u0434\u0442\u043e \u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u043b\u044c\u043d\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0440\u043e\u0441\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0445 \u0432\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a \u0456 \u043d\u0435\u043f\u0440\u0438\u0439\u043d\u044f\u0442\u043d\u0456 \u0434\u043b\u044f \u041a\u0440\u0435\u043c\u043b\u044f \u0432\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0438. \u0423 \u043d\u0430\u0439\u0431\u043b\u0438\u0436\u0447\u0456\u0439 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0441\u043f\u0435\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u0456 \u041c\u043e\u0441\u043a\u0432\u0430 \u0431\u0443\u0434\u0435 \u0437\u043c\u0443\u0448\u0435\u043d\u0430 \u0448\u0443\u043a\u0430\u0442\u0438 \u0434\u0438\u043f\u043b\u043e\u043c\u0430\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0456 \u0448\u043b\u044f\u0445\u0438 \u0432\u0438\u0440\u0456\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f. \u0406\u043c\u043e\u0432\u0456\u0440\u043d\u0438\u043c \u043a\u0430\u0442\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0437\u0430\u0442\u043e\u0440\u043e\u043c \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043d\u0430\u0437\u0438\u0432\u0430\u044e\u0442\u044c \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0435\u043d\u0446\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0443 \u0437\u0443\u0441\u0442\u0440\u0456\u0447 \u041f\u0443\u0442\u0456\u043d\u0430 \u0437 \u0422\u0440\u0430\u043c\u043f\u043e\u043c.PauseUnmuteLoaded:&nbsp;100.00%Remaining Time&nbsp;-0:19<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0410\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043e\u043a\u0440\u0435\u0441\u043b\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0447\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0438 \u0431\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0456\u0457 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043a\u043e\u043d\u0444\u043b\u0456\u043a\u0442\u0443.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u041d\u0430\u0439\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0449\u0438\u0439 \u2014 \u00ab\u043a\u043e\u0440\u0435\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439\u00bb (15%): \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0430 \u043d\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0442\u0443\u043f\u0430\u0454 \u0432 \u041d\u0410\u0422\u041e, \u0430\u043b\u0435 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0439\u043c\u0430\u0454 \u0454\u0432\u0440\u043e\u043f\u0435\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0456 \u0432\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0430, \u0449\u043e \u0432\u0456\u0434\u043a\u0440\u0438\u0432\u0430\u0454 \u0448\u043b\u044f\u0445 \u0434\u043e \u0440\u043e\u0437\u0432\u0438\u0442\u043a\u0443. \u00ab\u0406\u0437\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043b\u044c\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439\u00bb (20%) \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0434\u0431\u0430\u0447\u0430\u0454 \u043f\u043e\u0442\u0443\u0436\u043d\u0443 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043c\u043a\u0443 \u0417\u0430\u0445\u043e\u0434\u0443 \u0431\u0435\u0437 \u0432\u0456\u0439\u0441\u044c\u043a\u043e\u0432\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u0440\u0438\u0441\u0443\u0442\u043d\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0456. \u00ab\u0413\u0440\u0443\u0437\u0438\u043d\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439\u00bb (50%) \u2014 \u0432\u0442\u0440\u0430\u0442\u0430 \u0437\u0430\u0445\u0456\u0434\u043d\u043e\u0457 \u043f\u0456\u0434\u0442\u0440\u0438\u043c\u043a\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u043f\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043f\u0456\u0434 \u0432\u043f\u043b\u0438\u0432 \u0420\u043e\u0441\u0456\u0457. \u041d\u0430\u0439\u0433\u0456\u0440\u0448\u0438\u0439 \u2014 \u00ab\u0431\u0456\u043b\u043e\u0440\u0443\u0441\u044c\u043a\u0438\u0439\u00bb (15%): \u043a\u0430\u043f\u0456\u0442\u0443\u043b\u044f\u0446\u0456\u044f \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0438 \u0442\u0430 \u0457\u0457 \u043f\u0435\u0440\u0435\u0442\u0432\u043e\u0440\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043d\u0430 \u0432\u0430\u0441\u0430\u043b\u0430 \u041a\u0440\u0435\u043c\u043b\u044f.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img src=\"https:\/\/politeka.net\/crops\/ddbff3\/360x0\/1\/0\/2025\/03\/12\/G7yQxEplzRdg8dcoqzpoh6JzJK6EwtdjdAs7gvlZ.png\" alt=\"\u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456, \u043f\u0440\u0430\u043f\u043e\u0440\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p>\u041e\u0442\u0436\u0435, \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u0443\u044e\u0442\u044c, \u0449\u043e \u0430\u043a\u0442\u0438\u0432\u043d\u0430 \u0444\u0430\u0437\u0430 \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0438 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0436\u0435 \u0446\u044c\u043e\u0433\u043e \u043b\u0456\u0442\u0430.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u0422\u0438\u043c \u0447\u0430\u0441\u043e\u043c&nbsp;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/Publications\/WEO\/weo-database\/2025\/april\/weo-report?c=926,&amp;s=NGDPD,PCPI,LUR,LP,&amp;sy=2023&amp;ey=2030&amp;ssm=0&amp;scsm=1&amp;scc=0&amp;ssd=1&amp;ssc=0&amp;sic=0&amp;sort=country&amp;ds=.&amp;br=1\">\u041c\u0412\u0424<\/a>&nbsp;\u0442\u0435\u0436 \u0432\u0432\u0430\u0436\u0430\u0454, \u0449\u043e \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456 \u043c\u043e\u0436\u0435 \u0437\u0430\u0432\u0435\u0440\u0448\u0438\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u0456 \u043c\u0456\u0441\u044f\u0446\u0456 2025 \u0440\u043e\u043a\u0443. \u0421\u0430\u043c\u0435 \u043d\u0430 \u0446\u044c\u043e\u043c\u0443 \u0431\u0430\u0437\u0443\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0457\u0445\u043d\u0456\u0439 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437 \u0449\u043e\u0434\u043e \u0435\u043a\u043e\u043d\u043e\u043c\u0456\u043a\u0438, \u0437\u0440\u043e\u0441\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f \u043d\u0430\u0441\u0435\u043b\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u0437\u043d\u0438\u0436\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0431\u0435\u0437\u0440\u043e\u0431\u0456\u0442\u0442\u044f \u0442\u0430 \u0437\u0431\u0456\u043b\u044c\u0448\u0435\u043d\u043d\u044f \u0412\u0412\u041f \u0434\u043e $284 \u043c\u043b\u0440\u0434 \u0443 2030 \u0440\u043e\u0446\u0456.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u0410\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u043e\u043a\u0440\u0435\u0441\u043b\u0438\u043b\u0438 \u0447\u043e\u0442\u0438\u0440\u0438 \u0431\u0430\u0437\u043e\u0432\u0456 \u0441\u0446\u0435\u043d\u0430\u0440\u0456\u0457 \u0442\u0430 \u0440\u043e\u0437\u043f\u043e\u0432\u0456\u043b\u0438, \u043a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456. \u041a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456&nbsp;\u2014 \u0446\u0435 \u043f\u0438\u0442\u0430\u043d\u043d\u044f, \u044f\u043a\u0435 \u0432\u0441\u0435 \u0447\u0430\u0441\u0442\u0456\u0448\u0435 \u0437\u2019\u044f\u0432\u043b\u044f\u0454\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432 \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u0447\u043d\u0438\u0445 <a class=\"mh-excerpt-more\" href=\"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/?p=98058\" title=\"\u041a\u043e\u043b\u0438 \u0437\u0430\u043a\u0456\u043d\u0447\u0438\u0442\u044c\u0441\u044f \u0432\u0456\u0439\u043d\u0430 \u0432 \u0423\u043a\u0440\u0430\u0457\u043d\u0456: \u0430\u043d\u0430\u043b\u0456\u0442\u0438\u043a\u0438 \u0437\u0434\u0438\u0432\u0443\u0432\u0430\u043b\u0438 \u043f\u0440\u043e\u0433\u043d\u043e\u0437\u043e\u043c\">[&#8230;]<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":97722,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[77],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98058"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=98058"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98058\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":98059,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/98058\/revisions\/98059"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/97722"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=98058"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=98058"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.surma-ua.info\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=98058"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}